Our new Fed forecast simply brings forward our call for lower equity valuations and raises the risk in the first half of the year. The median stock remains expensive even though the most egregiously priced stocks have corrected. Focus turns back to earnings for picking winners from here. New Fed forecast means valuation reset happens faster and sooner. With our…
Weekly Warm-up: Earnings Take Center Stage with Valuation
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
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Morgan Stanley: Weekly Warm-up: Winter Is Here, Keep Playing Defense
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
With the Fed’s pivot now well understood and appreciated, investor attention now turns to growth which is slowing faster...
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Morgan Stanley: Rates May Prove Key Variable In 2021
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Markets Are Discounting Machines.Financial markets look ahead and discount what humans often can’t see or even imagine. 2020 may...
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VIX Trading and Complex Trading Fundamentals
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 1
Investor Sentiment This year has been a year unlike more recent and years whereby the markets trended steadily higher...
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3Fourteen Research: The Path to a Pivot
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Approaching the end of the year, it is natural to wonder: What lies ahead? Where does this road lead?...
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The Melt-Up Persists And May Become Dangerous
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Good Sunday morning Finom Group members! As I (Seth Golden) remain on vacation through December, keep in mind that...
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J.P. Morgan View: CPI release is a positive, but recession risks remain high!
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Cross-Asset Strategy: The October US CPI release delivered the largest downward inflation surprise since the start of the pandemic,...
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Fed Minutes, Key Gauges on the Economy & G-20 Set Up The Final Week of November
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
In the week that was, we had a rare 2018 example of market inefficiency. For much of the year...
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RBC Capital Cycle & Trend RoadMap December 2023
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
By Robert Sluymer CMT Equity markets are resolving 2-year trading ranges to the upside – Further upside likely in...
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