The S&P 500 (SPX) deviated from a decade-long streak of underperformance during the Memorial Day trading week this past week. In previous reports, we had outlined the quantitative data surrounding the forward returns for the benchmark index during Memorial Day’s trading week, which since 2010 proved to be negative and with a less than 50% positive performance rate. Review below,…
The fears of profound losses to the equity markets in the event that tariffs have been increased were overblown…...
We know that historical analogs and averages can be overdone in market analysis, and our statistical approach (and maybe...
1H22 was challenging for most risk assets as the Fed pivoted more sharply than most expected. The de-rating for...
Equity Risk Premium holds key inputs/ingredients After major market sell-offs, it becomes increasingly difficult to achieve lower-lows. They are...
2023 Global Economic Outlook • With financial conditions tightening and the winter aggravating China’s COVID and Europe’s natural gas...
The Leuthold Group tactical accounts remain positioned defensively, although not to the extent they could be given the bearish...
The first week of a new year, and the markets continue to trend higher. We don’t know how long...
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