Volatility Review Monetizing the convexity risk premium, US structuredproduct dynamics, Positioning update Implied convexity continues to exhibit very high levels of stress and lags the recovery in other risk premia. We recommend monetizing this rich risk premium by selling Jun’21 variance swaps vs. buying 0.75x the vega notional in Jun’21 vol swaps on the S&P 500.Additionally, steep longer-dated skew and…
J.P. Morgan & Merrill Lynch Lay of the Market Land
A financial market resource for the every-day investor and trader.
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Final Trading Day of 2018 Lay Ahead
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Good weekend to everyone and with the final trading day of calendar year 2018, we can’t help but desire...
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Wall Street Firms Have Mixed Feelings About Macro-Markets
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
J.P. Morgan’s Mike Ferolli Fundstrat’s Tom Lee Bank Of America’s Savita Subramanian
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Looking Toward The 2nd Half
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
We’ve often said at Finom Group, “When the market doesn’t produce the higher probability outcome.” And that probability is...
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Weekly State of the Market: Recession Fears Hit Fever Pitch
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Fear dominates in times that are especially uncomfortable. Bear market, recession, yield curve inversion, whatever….Negative focus/thinking is a self-perpetuating...
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Are You Ready For Q4 2024?
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
“Good to know” does not mean what we know is altogether practical. Welcome back investors and traders, to more...
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Pantheon Macro: Q4 2022 ECI Economic Monitor
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
The ECI is the best measure of wage growth, but you still need to look under the hood, not...
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Moment-Um Of Truth
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
Nothing moves sentiment more than price! You’ve probably heard that phrasing before? The phrasing basically suggests that despite all...
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Morgan Stanley Weekly Warm-up: Feedback to our Mid Year Outlook
Seth Golden, , Research Reports, 0
While there is some sympathy for our mid-cycle transition, most think it’s too early, or not worth acting on....
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