Over the past few days, economists and strategists are coming out with forecasts for economic growth, earnings, and asset prices. These forecasts range wildly from 20, or 50% or 70% declines on any of these measures. In reality, all of the measures forecasted heavily depend on how long the economy will stay shut down in response to the pandemic (e.g….
Somewhere’s in the recess of my childhood memories I can now hear Count Dracula from Sesame Street saying, “1...
In January, the “inventor” of the yield-curve indicator—Campbell Harvey of Duke University—suggested that the inversion of the 10Y/3M spread...
After a 1-point move in the S&P 500 (SPX) Monday, things got a bit more interesting through the remainder...
7 GENERAL PRINCIPLES: What is evidence-based research 1. Nothing new under the sun: Importance of looking at cycles 2....
Markets to continue following the path of COVID recovery Cross-asset Strategy: Risk markets recovered from the technical sell-off, as...
Last year proved a painful time to be an investor, and for the most part, it didn’t matter what...
Let’s get right to the heart of the matter and as we look forward to the coming week, which...
In recent years, we’ve supplemented our longstanding normalized earnings technique with the simpler method of referencing any past peak...
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