Why rising rates and a flatter curve signal a potential downturn: The U.S. economy has seen a prolonged period of growth without a recession. As the business cycle has matured, the U.S. yield curve has flattened substantially. We expect further flattening and an increasing likelihood of curve inversion as the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates. Historically, an inverted yield curve has been a strong leading indicator of an…
Welcome to one of 2 videos we will be offering in the month of December 2024. We encourage Finom...
Some of the 21st century’s biggest breakthroughs are happening in health care, transforming the way we diagnose, treat and...
On April 23, 2017 I informed readers, traders and investors alike as to the risks that lay before the...
IN THIS ISSUE Macro Strategy—A fundamental change in the Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) approach to achieving its inflation target means...
We know that historical analogs and averages can be overdone in market analysis, and our statistical approach (and maybe...
Capital Economics We have revised some of our key market forecasts in response to Donald Trump’s victory and the news...
Cross-Asset Strategy: As we indicated in a previous report, a combination of a strong recovery in demand, easy policy,...
In 2015, I penned my first article on the subject matter surrounding VIX-leveraged ETF/ETNs. Back then, as if it...
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